BRIEF OVERVIEW: The solid SW swell that filled in today (Friday) will continue on Saturday. That swell will receive reinforcements on the 26th-27th with the surf leveling off, before fading for the 28th-29th. A smaller, but fun size, SW swell is on track for the 29th-30th, with potential for a better SSW swell for the final 1-2 days of the contest holding period.

SATURDAY 25th: Mid period SW swell holds to eases slowly
SURF: 6-8’ faces with some larger sets in the morning. Strongest through the first half of the day and easing over the afternoon.
WIND: Light/variable to light SE wind in the morning, with light to moderate onshore SW wind in the afternoon 7-11kts.

SUNDAY 26th: Mid period SSW swell easing; modest, new SSW swell picking up late in the day
SURF: 4-7’ faces.
WIND: Light/variable to light SE wind in the morning, with light to moderate onshore SW wind in the afternoon 7-11kts.

MONDAY 27th: SSW swell continues
SURF: 4-66’+ faces through the day.
WIND: Light/variable to light SE wind in the morning, with light to moderate onshore SW wind in the afternoon 7-10kts.

TUESDAY 28th: SSW swell fades
SURF: 4-5’+ faces
WIND: Light/variable to light SE wind in the morning, with light to moderate onshore SW wind in the afternoon 7-11kts.

WEDNESDAY 29th: Modest, new SW swell fills in on top of older/easing SSW swell; stay tuned
SURF: 3-5’ faces. Stay tuned, we’ll refine this forecast over the next couple days.
WIND: Light/variable to light SE wind in the morning, with light to moderate onshore SW wind in the afternoon 7-11kts.

Long Range Surf Outlook: The event has kicked off with a nice shot of SW swell (205-220) thanks to recent storm activity that tracked across the South Pacific and then flared up off the coast of Peru a couple days ago. The building, mid period SW swell that we saw today will continue on Saturday. We expect to see surf in the head high to a couple/few feet overhead range prevail Saturday, with a few larger sets through the morning before easing slowly through the afternoon.

New SSW swell will build in for Sunday afternoon the 26th and continue on Monday the 27th. This won’t add any new size but will level the surf off on Sun/Mon with more waves in the head high to a foot or two overhead range.

Going into the longer range, we will see a fun run of SW swell for Wed/THur, from storm activity now moving into the Central South Pacific. This does not look like a large swell, but should provide chest-head high waves. A larger SSW swell looks possible for Friday afternoon and Saturday, which may boost things back into the overhead range. Stay tuned, this will depend on storm activity in the central South Pacific over the next couple days.

Wind/Weather: Pretty standard wind and weather pattern for the first couple/few days of the event holding period: mostly light/variable wind in the mornings, followed by light to moderate onshore SSW/SW wind in the afternoons.

Next Update: Monday evening, October 27th

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