BRIEF OVERVIEW: We are tracking a fairly solid SW swell for the first couple days of the event waiting period (24th-25th). That swell will receive reinforcements on the 26th-27th with the surf leveling off, before fading for the 28th-29th. A smaller, but possibly fun size, SW swell is currently on the long range radar for the final couple days of the event.

Long Range Surf Outlook: The event will kick off with a nice shot of SW swell (205-220) thanks to recent storm activity that tracked across the South Pacific last week and then flared up off the coast of Peru a couple days ago. We will see building, mid period SW swell through Friday that will continue on Saturday. We expect to see surf in the head high to a couple/few feet overhead range on Fri/Sat. Stay tuned, we will refine this forecast further in our next update as we see the swell hit the buoy offshore of Chile.

The next SSW swell that we’ll be monitoring is currently on track to build in for Sunday afternoon the 26th and continue on Monday the 27th. This won’t add any new size but will level the surf off on Sun/Mon with more waves in the head high to slightly overhead range. Stay tuned, we will refine this forecast further on Friday.

Going into the longer range, model guidance currently indicates a fun run of SW swell could finish out the final 2-3 days of the event holding period, from storm activity now moving into the Central South Pacific. This does not look like a large swell, but should provide head high waves over the last couple days of the event waiting period.

Wind/Weather: Looks like a pretty standard wind and weather pattern for the first couple/few days of the event holding period: mostly light/variable wind in the mornings, followed by light to moderate onshore SSW/SW wind in the afternoons.

Next Update: Friday evening, October 24th

The Surfline wave heights chart of the South Pacific displays the moderate SW swell developing for the opening days of the event holding period, with smaller SW swell possible for the end of the holding period from storm activity near New Zealand.
The Surfline wave heights chart of the South Pacific displays the moderate SW swell developing for the opening days of the event holding period, with smaller SW swell possible for the end of the holding period from storm activity near New Zealand.

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